The Editors’ Premier League Betting Battle 2018/19: Round 22

Sean Dyche Friendly.jpg

The editors return after the FA Cup break, with Joe continuing to lead the way from Mike. Here’s where their tenners are headed for the Premier League weekend…

“Everything about Everton and Bournemouth’s recent form suggests we’ll witness goals here, and recent head-to-head results are in out favour also. Since the Cherries were promoted these two clubs have played games that finished 6-3, 3-3, 2-2 and 2-1 three times.”

In-form Clarets to pile on Ranieri’s misery

Joe Dyer
Back Burnley to beat Fulham @ [2.46]
Saturday, 15:00

After a stunning 2017-18 campaign Burnley’s poor season has been a surprise but three wins on the spin suggest they’ve turned a corner and I’m happy to support them this weekend.

Fulham are in town on Saturday and it’s fair to say we are still waiting for a Claudio Ranieri-powered renaissance at the West London outfit.

Ten games have passed since the Italian’s appointment and just two have been won with the latest match being a dispiriting 2-1 reverse at home to League Two’s Oldham at Craven Cottage.

Ranieri fielded a much-changed team for that fixture and will no doubt bring back his ‘big guns’ but they’ve not fired yet and yet Fulham are [3.4] to defeat Burnley despite picking up just two points from 11 away fixtures in the top-flight this year.

For me that makes the [2.46] on a Burnley win a worthwhile punt. Sean Dyche seems to have finally got his side ticking and, importantly, they look much improved at the back after a few heavy defeats this season. That’s been one of their main strengths in recent seasons and I’d far rather be on a settled Burnley doing what they do best than a Fulham side still learning the ropes under a new-ish manager.

Joe Dyer 2017-18 P/L: +£46.90

Goals look certain when the Cherries visit Goodison

Mike Norman
Back Over 3.5 Goals @ [2.96] in Everton v Bournemouth
Sunday, 14:15
Live on Sky Sports

I feel sure we’ll see a bit of a goalfest at Goodison Park on Sunday when Everton host struggling Bournemouth in what should be a very entertaining affair.

The Cherries are going through a difficult time having won just one of their last eight games in all competitions. They are conceding goals for fun including shipping 15 goals in their last four matches. In the last 11 games in which they’ve failed to win they’ve conceded at least two goals in a match on 10 occasions and an average of 2.8 per game.

Put simply then, if you don’t fancy Bournemouth to beat Everton then it’s highly likely that Eddie Howe’s men will concede at last two or three goals.

The good news for the recommended bet however is that the Toffees aren’t exactly rock solid defensively either. Marco Silva’s men have gone nine consecutive games without keeping a clean sheet with their form being very inconsistent during that spell, like conceding six at home in one game, and then scoring five themselves on their travels in the next game.

So everything about Everton and Bournemouth’s recent form suggests we’ll witness goals here, and recent head-to-head results are in out favour also. Since the Cherries were promoted these two clubs have played games that finished 6-3, 3-3, 2-2 and 2-1 three times. The last four meetings have seen an average of 4.75 goals scored, while the three meetings at Goodison Park have averaged exactly five goals per game.

Mike Norman 2017-18 P/L: +£29.70

Back leaky Gunners to outgun Irons

Harry Phillips
Back Arsenal to beat West Ham and both teams to score at 23/10
Saturday, 12:30
Live on Sky Sports Premier League

West Ham are a difficult team to read, always seemingly going through large spells of hot and cold – and it’s currently on the chilly side for the east Londoners, with one win in the last four including disappointing losses to Burnley and Watford. Marko Arnautović agitating for a move to China won’t do them any favours either.

In response to the statement from the brother and agent of Marko Arnautovic this afternoon, the Club has issued the following: pic.twitter.com/6A2p3glFhg

? West Ham United (@WestHamUtd) January 10, 2019

I expect Arsenal to have too much on the day but the Hammers have enough attacking ability to trouble a Gunners side who have been extremely shaky at the back away from the Emirates, with 11 goals conceded in the last four road trips.

An away win with both sides scoring looks the best play at 23/10 and it’s where my tenner is going.

Harry Phillips 2017-18 P/L: -£45.20

Back the Bluebirds

Jasmine Baba
Back Cardiff @ [2.28] v Huddersfield
Saturday, 15:00

One win in five and a FA cup defeat to a League One side, and you’d think Cardiff would be a side to avoid in the Betting Battle. However, if you take a closer look at their losses, they’ve faced both Tottenham and Manchester United at home, so it’s understandable that their form at Cardiff City Stadium isn’t as good as it usually is. They also faced Watford away, where they lost 3-2, who are in the top half of the table.

Thoroughout these defeats they did get a point from Palace at Selhurst Park, and beat Leicester City away. They’re usually a well-drilled and organised team thanks to Neil Warnock, something that Huddersfield are not.

The Terriers have lost eight Premier League games in a row, and their attack is so bad that defender Zanka is their top scorer in the league this season with three goals, the lowest top-scorer among all 20 clubs. With the Bluebirds just two points away from the relegation zone they can take on a dire Huddersfield, especially at any price over evens.

Jasmine Baba 2017-18 P/L: -£64.05

Seagulls a big price to shock leaders

Dan Thomas
Back Brighton to beat Liverpool at [11.5]
Saturday, 15:00

My ongoing hunt for a chunky winner this week takes me to the south coast where Brighton’s price looks on the big side to beat a Liverpool team who have now lost three of their last six away games.

Admittedly the last of those defeats was with a weakened side at Wolves in the FA Cup, but momentum is against the Reds at the moment and I fancy that Brighton can give a central defence shorn of Joel Matip, Joe Gomez and, now, Dejan Lovren plenty of problems.

Chris Hughton‘s men come into the game in confident mood, unbeaten in four games – and winning three of their last six at the Amex – and I’ll take a chance on them nicking the game, as they could easily have done against Arsenal.

The recent stats are all against us – Liverpool have won the last six meetings – but that’s why we’re getting a massive price.

Dan Thomas 2017-18 P/L: -£138.40

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For individual match previews of every single Premier League game visit our dedicated Premier League section here on Betting.Betfair.

The Editors’ 2018/19 P/L:

1. Joe Dyer +£46.90
2. Mike Norman +£29.70
3. Harry Phillips -£45.20
4. Jasmine Baba -£64.05
5. Dan Thomas -£138.40

Source: Betfair Premier League