The Daily Acca: Napoli and Milan to play out a draw

Spoils to be shared in Florence

Bet 1: Back The Draw in Fiorentina v Verona @ 5/2 – KO 18:30 BST

Fiorentina have had a troubling couple of seasons, and it looks like they will have another disappointing finish this year. They are in 13th place with 35 points, and they will struggle to finish in the top 10.

Hellas Verona are doing well since their promotion from Serie B, as they are in ninth with 43 points – just eight points behind Napoli in sixth.

These two teams both drew their respective games when they were in action in midweek, which was Fiorentina’s second draw in five outings, and Verona’s second in their last four.

Cherries to give themselves a lifeline

Bet 2: Back Bournemouth @ 4/1 – KO 19:00 BST

It’s now or never for Bournemouth given the victories for Watford and West Ham yesterday. They are now six points adrift of safety, but if they win their game in hand here, they still have a chance.

It won’t be easy against Leicester this evening, but the Foxes have hardly set the world alight since their return to action.

Brendan Rodgers‘ men have won just one of their six fixtures in all competitions – losing to both Chelsea and Everton.

Eddie Howe’s team are capable on their day, and 4/1 about them pulling out a win when they really need it is worth chancing.

Nothing to separate improving duo

Bet 3: Back The Draw in Napoli v AC Milan 5/2 – KO 20:45 BST

AC Milan head to Naples having beaten the top two in Serie A. They went to Lazio and beat them 3-0, before coming back from 2-0 down to beat Juventus 4-2.

It doesn’t get much easier for Stefano Pioli’s side today as they have to take on an improving Napoli team. Gennaro Gattuso has managed to drag Gli Azzurri up to sixth in the league, and while they won’t make the Champions League, they are right back in the Europa League mix.

A draw looks like a likely result this evening as the pair of them are in decent form, with a defeat being a potential momentum stopper.

Source: Betfair Premier League

    

The Daily Acca: Napoli and Milan to play out a draw

Spoils to be shared in Florence

Bet 1: Back The Draw in Fiorentina v Verona @ 5/2 – KO 18:30 BST

Fiorentina have had a troubling couple of seasons, and it looks like they will have another disappointing finish this year. They are in 13th place with 35 points, and they will struggle to finish in the top 10.

Hellas Verona are doing well since their promotion from Serie B, as they are in ninth with 43 points – just eight points behind Napoli in sixth.

These two teams both drew their respective games when they were in action in midweek, which was Fiorentina’s second draw in five outings, and Verona’s second in their last four.

Cherries to give themselves a lifeline

Bet 2: Back Bournemouth @ 4/1 – KO 19:00 BST

It’s now or never for Bournemouth given the victories for Watford and West Ham yesterday. They are now six points adrift of safety, but if they win their game in hand here, they still have a chance.

It won’t be easy against Leicester this evening, but the Foxes have hardly set the world alight since their return to action.

Brendan Rodgers‘ men have won just one of their six fixtures in all competitions – losing to both Chelsea and Everton.

Eddie Howe’s team are capable on their day, and 4/1 about them pulling out a win when they really need it is worth chancing.

Nothing to separate improving duo

Bet 3: Back The Draw in Napoli v AC Milan 5/2 – KO 20:45 BST

AC Milan head to Naples having beaten the top two in Serie A. They went to Lazio and beat them 3-0, before coming back from 2-0 down to beat Juventus 4-2.

It doesn’t get much easier for Stefano Pioli’s side today as they have to take on an improving Napoli team. Gennaro Gattuso has managed to drag Gli Azzurri up to sixth in the league, and while they won’t make the Champions League, they are right back in the Europa League mix.

A draw looks like a likely result this evening as the pair of them are in decent form, with a defeat being a potential momentum stopper.

Source: Betfair Italian

    

Football Bet of the Day: Visitors won’t be Grinning

We’re spending our Sunday evening in Iceland, and Kev’s backing the second-tier leaders to pick up another three points.

Table-toppers to win again

IBV v Grindavik
Sunday 12 July, 17:00

A case of “no way” in Norway last night, as Stromsgodset missed several gilt-edged chances in a 3-0 defeat at Rosenborg, ruining our BTTS bet. If I was a manager, this week would be about batting away questions about my future, insisting that I still have the support of the dressing room.

The lads have one last chance to show they are playing for me this week, and that’s in Iceland. Early 1.Deild leaders IBV are up against Grindavik, and I suspect the hosts will pick up an entertaining win.

IBV have won all four of their league games so far in the second tier, having been relegated from the top-division Urvalsdeild last term. They have scored ten goals in the process, and in the Icelandic Cup, they have won 5-1 against tonight’s opponents Grindavik and 7-0 against Tindastoll (I don’t think that’s an Icelandic dating app, but maybe it should be).

Grindavik went down with IBV last season, and after a sticky start they have recovered. They went down 2-1 at Thor, and after wins over Throttur Reykjavik and Vestri they played out an extraordinary 4-4 draw with Keflavik. Grindavik blew a 4-2 lead in that game, and they have already leaked 13 goals in five competitive matches this term.

IBV are in stunning form, and have already smashed Grindavik in the cup. We can double up a home win with an Over 2.5 Goals bet at [2.17] on the Sportsbook, and I think that’s the way to go.

Alternatively, you could back Over 3.5 Goals on the Exchange at [2.72], which has paid out in three of Grindavik’s five competitive fixtures so far.

Source: BetFair Tips

    

Manchester United v Southampton: United can land another high-scoring win

Solskjaer  Clapping 1280.jpg

Manchester United v Southampton
Monday 13 July, 20:00
Live on Sky Sports

Winning formula

Manchester United have roared into contention for a Champions League place with 13 points from a possible 15 since the restart, plus they have progressed to an FA Cup semi-final against Chelsea next Sunday.

The good form was brewing before lockdown and Ole Gunnar Solskjaer is developing a fast, youthful and dynamic team that could well throw down a title challenge next season.

Solskjaer has been keen to stick with a winning formula and looks set to go with the same starting XI for the fifth league match in a row.

Top-six form

Southampton have been safe in mid-table for some time, having come a long way from their abysmal form in the first half of the season that kept them in the bottom three until just before Christmas.

Ralph Hasenhuttl’s side have been more like a top-six outfit in the second half of the season and they have resumed with three wins and a draw from five league games, losing only to Arsenal.

A key factor has been the form of striker Danny Ings, who is on 19 goals and still has an outside chance of the Golden Boot.

United have been one of the form teams since the restart and, more pertinently, since the transformative signing of Bruno Fernandes in January.

Their record with the Portuguese playmaker in the starting line-up is W10 D4 L0 in all competitions (W7 D3 L0 in the Premier League) and they average 2.3 goals per game in the league matches played by Fernandes.

Solskjaer’s side now look much more like the title-winning United of old in that they have the intricacy to unpick deep-lying defences around the penalty area plus devastating speed on the counter-attack.

Doubts are still raised about whether United’s defence is strong enough, although they have conceded in only three of the 10 Premier League games since Fernandes’ arrival and that run has included wins to nil against Manchester City and Chelsea.

Southampton are unlikely to fold easily and their own counter-attacking capability should not be underestimated. Ings has scored in nine of his last 14 away league games and can be relied on to score if a chance comes his way.

Hasenhuttl’s side have lost only one of their five games since the restart (2-0 at home to Arsenal) and were resolute enough to hold out under siege from Manchester City for a 1-0 home win settled by Che Adams’ goal from 40 yards.

That is their only win in their last five matches against top-half sides, however, and all the others have been defeats with at least two goals conceded each time.

An away win is not out of the question but United would need to have an off night at both ends of the pitch and it looks unlikely on current form.

The bet that appeals most is United to win with over 2.5 match goals at 5/6 with Betfair Sportsbook. That has occurred in five of United’s seven wins since Fernandes’ arrival and the two exceptions were against top-four sides.

United have ranked quite low on goals for much of the season but their attack has caught fire since the restart and they have scored at least three in each of their last four league games.

Only Wolves, Everton and Tottenham have restricted them to less than two goals in 10 league games since the start of February.

Southampton rank high for away games with over 2.5 goals (65%) and that is not just a legacy of their defensive struggles in the first half of the season.

Six of their last nine away games have gone over 2.5 goals and the three exceptions all had two goals, with the Saints scoring in eight of those last nine trips.

Opta Stat

Southampton have won only one of their last 23 away Premier League games against ‘big six’ teams (D5 17), winning 2-0 at Chelsea in December 2019. The Saints are [10.5] to win.

Source: Betfair Premier League

    

Manchester United v Southampton: United can land another high-scoring win

Solskjaer  Clapping 1280.jpg

Manchester United v Southampton
Monday 13 July, 20:00
Live on Sky Sports

Winning formula

Manchester United have roared into contention for a Champions League place with 13 points from a possible 15 since the restart, plus they have progressed to an FA Cup semi-final against Chelsea next Sunday.

The good form was brewing before lockdown and Ole Gunnar Solskjaer is developing a fast, youthful and dynamic team that could well throw down a title challenge next season.

Solskjaer has been keen to stick with a winning formula and looks set to go with the same starting XI for the fifth league match in a row.

Top-six form

Southampton have been safe in mid-table for some time, having come a long way from their abysmal form in the first half of the season that kept them in the bottom three until just before Christmas.

Ralph Hasenhuttl’s side have been more like a top-six outfit in the second half of the season and they have resumed with three wins and a draw from five league games, losing only to Arsenal.

A key factor has been the form of striker Danny Ings, who is on 19 goals and still has an outside chance of the Golden Boot.

United have been one of the form teams since the restart and, more pertinently, since the transformative signing of Bruno Fernandes in January.

Their record with the Portuguese playmaker in the starting line-up is W10 D4 L0 in all competitions (W7 D3 L0 in the Premier League) and they average 2.3 goals per game in the league matches played by Fernandes.

Solskjaer’s side now look much more like the title-winning United of old in that they have the intricacy to unpick deep-lying defences around the penalty area plus devastating speed on the counter-attack.

Doubts are still raised about whether United’s defence is strong enough, although they have conceded in only three of the 10 Premier League games since Fernandes’ arrival and that run has included wins to nil against Manchester City and Chelsea.

Southampton are unlikely to fold easily and their own counter-attacking capability should not be underestimated. Ings has scored in nine of his last 14 away league games and can be relied on to score if a chance comes his way.

Hasenhuttl’s side have lost only one of their five games since the restart (2-0 at home to Arsenal) and were resolute enough to hold out under siege from Manchester City for a 1-0 home win settled by Che Adams’ goal from 40 yards.

That is their only win in their last five matches against top-half sides, however, and all the others have been defeats with at least two goals conceded each time.

An away win is not out of the question but United would need to have an off night at both ends of the pitch and it looks unlikely on current form.

The bet that appeals most is United to win with over 2.5 match goals at 5/6 with Betfair Sportsbook. That has occurred in five of United’s seven wins since Fernandes’ arrival and the two exceptions were against top-four sides.

United have ranked quite low on goals for much of the season but their attack has caught fire since the restart and they have scored at least three in each of their last four league games.

Only Wolves, Everton and Tottenham have restricted them to less than two goals in 10 league games since the start of February.

Southampton rank high for away games with over 2.5 goals (65%) and that is not just a legacy of their defensive struggles in the first half of the season.

Six of their last nine away games have gone over 2.5 goals and the three exceptions all had two goals, with the Saints scoring in eight of those last nine trips.

Opta Stat

Southampton have won only one of their last 23 away Premier League games against ‘big six’ teams (D5 17), winning 2-0 at Chelsea in December 2019. The Saints are [10.5] to win.

Source: BetFair Tips