All matches are on Tuesday at 19:45
Blackburn [2.12] v Millwall [3.95]; The Draw [3.6]
Millwall went from lifeless (six points from 11 games) to near faultless (eight matches unbeaten) to unexpectedly survive last season, and have laid the foundations for a repeat performance, this time even more impressive for the fact that a total novice is steering the ship in club legend Neil Harris.
Following five successive defeats to usher in the spring, the Lions’ sole loss in six since came against leaders Watford.
Their latest hosts Blackburn – who we successfully laid on Saturday – are winless in four at Ewood Park, where the Londoners have triumphed twice in three visits since Rovers’ dropped out of the Premier League in 2012.
Recommended Bet: Lay Blackburn to win @ [2.14]
Notts County [6.4] v Preston [1.66]; The Draw [4.1]
There is plenty of intrigue packed into League One’s midweek fixture list, with this possibly the pick of the quintet due to the implications at both ends of the table: Preston are a point clear of MK Dons in the second automatic promotion place; Notts County are a lowly 22nd, two points shy of safety.
These teams drew at Deepdale on the opening day and the trends all indicate a repeat. The Magpies have shared spoils in five of their last six encounters, including three in a row at home, while Preston have drawn three on the spin, five in seven and three of their most recent four on the road.
Recommended Bet: Back the draw @ [4.1]
Bury [2.52] v Southend [3.3]; The Draw [3.25]
Is there anything better than two form sides colliding? How about them doing so with huge stakes? Bury’s run of 11 wins in 13 and Southend’s five in succession have left them within two and three points respectively of third-placed Wycombe, with this the potentially season-defining game in hand.
Picking the victors is a fiendish task – Bury’s two home reverses in four perhaps offers Southend the slightest opening – so the most statistically-sound punt is on under 2.5 goals.
Bury have gone that low in ten of their past 12 matches, while the Shrimpers did so in each of their previous six fixtures, not conceding a single goal in that period and scoring just seven themselves.
Recommended Bet: Back under 2.5 goals @ [1.66]