20th, P34, 26pts
Goal Difference -26
Last Six Form (most recent last): WLDLLL
Relegation Odds [1.12]
Remaining Fixtures: West Ham (away), Hull (a), Stoke (home), Aston Villa (a)
The Verdict: The fixture list is really against the Clarets who face three road games in their last four. The silver lining is that Burnley’s next opponents, West Ham, are clearly struggling for motivation. Win that and May 9’s clash with Hull could be very spicy indeed. The final pair of matches offer a little hope – Stoke are safe and playing merely for a good finishihng position while Villa could have one eye on the FA Cup final when the two meet on the final day of the season. That’s the positive side of Burnley’s situation, the reality is that Sean Dyche’s side haven’t scored in five since they shocked Man City in March, picking up just one point along the way. They’re goners, aren’t they?
19th, P34, 27pts
Goal Difference -21
Last Six Form (most recent last): LLWDLD
Relegation Odds [1.1]Remaining Fixtures: Liverpool (away), Manchester City (away), Newcastle (home), Leicester (a)
The Verdict: If the fixture list has something against Burnley we can but wonder what QPR has done to upset that big computer at FA HQ! Like Burnley, Chris Ramsey’s team face a trio of away games with just one in front of their own fans. But while Burnley go to mid-table outfits, Rangers must go to Liverpool, Man City and relegation rivals Leicester. They will be double figure odds to beat either of the first two, although you could argue that neither Liverpool or City will be ultra-motivated given the way their league has gone for both. If QPR are somehow still alive after those games then the last two are winnable, but you have to think they’ll be dead and buried by then.
18th, P33, 30pts
Goal Difference -23
Last Six Form (most recent last): DLLWLD
Relegation Odds [1.66]Remaining Fixtures: Southampton (home), Everton (away), Leicester (h), Arsenal (a), Chelsea (a)
The Verdict: Unless the Black Cats can summon up the spirit of 2013/14 when they beat took seven points off three members of the Premier League elite – City, Chelsea and Man Utd – during a wondrous run-in, survival looks like boiling down to the next three matches. Two of those take place at the Stadium of Light, which while no stronghold, at least offers the support of 40,000 Mackems. Results under Dick Advocaat haven’t been uniformly terrible but they really must go two points better than at least Hull and Leicester in the last five there is the chance of getting out of trouble due to their inferior goal difference.
17th, P33, 31pts
Goal Difference -16
Last Six Form (most recent last): DLWWWW
Relegation Odds [7.0]Remaining Fixtures: Chelsea (home), Newcastle (h), Southampton (h), Sunderland (away), QPR (home)
The Verdict: The Foxes have done what all those around must be wishing for right now – suddenly hit a rich vein of winning form. Four straight victories have pulled Nigel Pearson’s side out of the relegation zone and their odds for the drop have been transformed from a low of [1.12] to [7.0]. For all that, however, they have just a one point cushion over Sunderland and a return to losing form could see them soon back in trouble. It’s likely they’ll taste defeat soon – they’re [6.2] to beat Chelsea on Wednesday – but could well be celebrating a victory next weekend, they’re even money to beat Newcastle at the King Power. Even if both those games are lost the Foxes have opportunities to pick up points with clashes against relegation rivals to finish the season. Barring a nightmare run, Pearson’s men look to have just about done enough to beat the drop.
16th, P33, 31pts
Goal Difference -14
Last Six Form (most recent last): DDLLLW
Relegation Odds [3.35]Remaining Fixtures: Liverpool (home), Arsenal (h), Burnley (h), Tottenham (away), Manchester United (h)
The Verdict: With a tough run-in coming up, Saturday’s win at Crystal Palace came at just the right time for Steve Bruce’s outfit – defeat would have left them short odds-on for the drop but are now bigger than 2/1. It seems scarcely believable that four of Hull’s last five are at home but they will thank their lucky stars they are as road trips to Anfield, The Emirates and Old Trafford wouldn’t have offered much hope. Like Leicester, Hull have just a one point advantage over Sunderland, though with a significantly better goal difference. Home advantage should see last year’s FA Cup finalists through but there could be nervy moments if they don’t pick up points against either Liverpool or Arsenal.
15th, P34, 32pts
Goal Difference -22
Last Six Form (most recent last): WLLDWL
Relegation Odds [9.2]Remaining Fixtures: Everton (home), West Ham (h), Southampton (away), Burnley (h)
The Verdict: Though an in-form Everton are the next side due to visit Villa Park, and most of those below them in the table have played one less Premier League fixture, Tim Sherwood’s team will surely get enough from their last three home games to ensure survival. A revitalised Christian Benteke gives the Midlanders that most trusty thing in football – a reliable goalscorer – and even the distraction of an FA Cup final shouldn’t knock Villa off course as they seem to be enjoying their football so much at present.
14th, P34, 35pts
Goal Difference – 21
Last Six Form (most recent last): LLLLLL
Relegation Odds [22.0]Remaining Fixtures: Leicester (away), West Brom (home), QPR (away), West Ham (home)
The Verdict: While Villa are loving the game, Newcastle are hating it, and while there shouldn’t be any question of the Magpies going down their seven-game losing streak is hugely worrying. Their current points haul should already be enough and if they add to it by just one point that could ensure survival, but that’s a big if given how badly John Carver’s side are playing at present. Just think: by the end of next weekend it’s possible that Newcastle could be just two points off the drop zone should they suffer defeat at Leicester, Sunderland beat Southampton at the Stadium of Light and Hull get some joy from an admittedly tough pair of home fixtures. With the fans already in revolt Carver must somehow carve out a result or it could be carnage in the north east.
It’s very hard to argue with the odds as they stand and we must asssume that Burnley and QPR are going down – many rivals have a game in hand on the pair and they both need more than just a win to get out of trouble. It’s all about that final slot and while Sunderland are the most likely to go down, it’s no done deal yet. If you were looking for an alternative to the Black Cats, then the plays are either Hull or Newcastle. The latter really shouldn’t be any trouble but the fans aren’t happy and neither are the team. It’s possible they could lose all their remaining fixtures. At [22.0] to back you don’t have to invest much to get a handsome return if the impossible happened. Hull’s run of home games suggests they’ll be safe, but the opposition is very tough, and before they beat Palace they hadn’t won for six so have the potential to go on long losing runs. Leicester’s form looks enough to get them the points they may need although that is reflected in the price.