Swansea v Man City
Sunday May 17, 13:30 BST
Live on Sky Sports 1
While plenty of other sides would have long been on the beach by now in Swansea’s situation, manager, Garry Monk, has delayed all flights from Wales and they come into this game on the back of three straight wins. The nine points collected have moved them up to eighth in the table and with two matches to go, they are now only one point behind Southampton and a further point adrift of Spurs.
The departure of Wilfired Bony hasn’t had an impact on their fortunes and I’m sure that the players will be keen to get one over on their former teammate at The Liberty on Sunday.
Manchester City have got going again this season but it’s too little too late. Four straight wins since the demoralising defeat at Old Trafford have at least moved them back to second in the league but Chelsea are almost certainly going to finish over 10 points ahead of them, and that is unacceptable.
Yaya Toure and Vincent Kompany returned to the squad for the QPR game last week and Wilfried Bony will also be pushing for a start against his former club. It will be interesting to see if Pellegrini tinkers with his team though given the 6-0 thrashing they handed out to Rangers, especially as he’s under so much pressure.
Swansea [5.1] Man City [1.76] The Draw [4.2]
This is quite an interesting market as both teams come into the game on a winning streak. The Swans have beaten Newcastle, Stoke and Arsenal, while City have won against West Ham, Aston Villa, Spurs and QPR.
Obviously there is a gulf in class between the players but football is a team sport and you will struggle to find a more together team than Swansea. I really can’t see them being beaten in front of their own fans on their final outing in front of them this season, and their record at home is decent anyway – played 18, won nine, drawn five and lost four.
I will throw in a note of caution however as The Citizens are playing some good stuff at the moment and Sergio Aguero was on fire last weekend. I’m leaning towards the draw at a tasty [4.2], but I wouldn’t put you off backing a home win.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over 2.5 Goals [1.72] Under 2.5 Goals [2.38]
Given the prices I quite like under 2.5 here. Half a dozen of Swansea’s last eight Premier League matches would have seen that selection paid out and while City’s stats don’t make quite as appealing reading, it is worth noting that almost half of their last nine on the road have followed suit.
A further interesting statistic is that neither team have conceded a goal in over three hours of football.
My best cash out recommendation for this match lies in the Correct Score market as 1-1 is trading at a very tempting [9.0]. As mentioned above, I think it will be a tight game with few goals, so if I’m right, the 1-1 scoreline should offer a very reasonable cash out figure in-play.
Back The Draw @ [4.2]
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ [2.38]
Best Cash Out
Back a 1-1 Correct Score @ [9.0]