It’s that time of the week where Paul Robinson selects a home win, an away win, a match to go over 2.5 goals and a match to go under 2.5 goals. Here are his selections…
Bet 1: Tottenham (HOME) @ 1.72 (8/11)
It hasn’t been the greatest of weeks for Spurs as they were knocked out of the Europa League and beaten in the Capital One Cup Final. Things have started to slip in the Premier League as well so if they have any aspirations of making the top four, they absolutely need to win this evening.
That’s something that I believe they’ll do – and indeed something they have done in five of their last eight league games at the Lane. Pochettino’s side have plenty of quality and I don’t think they are the kind of team to be affected by a Wembley disappointment.
Swansea have surprised me since the loss of Wilfried Bony and they come into the match on the back of two wins. That has pushed them up to eighth in the table but I can’t see them finishing any higher than that.
Gary Monk’s men have a fairly respectable record on the road this term – four wins and three draws from 13 outings – however they can be a bit hit miss and they won’t be afforded much time on the ball in this one.
Bet 2: Arsenal (AWAY) @ 1.53 (8/15)
It’s hard to gauge just how well Arsenal are doing as while you hear doom and gloom from the media and fans alike, Arsene Wenger’s side are only four points behind Manchester City, having won eight of their last 10 in the league. They are also into the quarter-finals of the FA Cup, and while they trail Monaco 3-1 in the Champions League, they are still technically in the competition.
The Gunners have traditionally been flat-track bullies in recent years and a trip to the third bottom team shouldn’t hold much fear. Yes, QPR have a fairly solid home record for a club who are in the relegation zone, but it is worth noting that it’s just two points from a possible 12 for Rangers at Loftus Road recently.
They may be a short price, but Arsenal have the extra class and I expect them to record their seventh away win of the campaign tonight.
Bet 3: Stoke v Everton (Over 2.5 goals) @ 2.37 (11/8)
Back to back victories over Aston Villa and Hull have helped Stoke close the gap on the teams above them and they could leapfrog West Ham if they better their result this evening.
This selection is all about goals though and seven of Stoke’s last 10 in all competition have seen over 2.5 backers rewarded. Their last four scorelines at the Britannia have been 3-1, 3-1, 1-4 and 1-0, with the latter coming against a Hull team who rarely have high-scoring matches.
Everton haven’t been able to hit the heights of recent seasons and they find themselves down in 14th place – just six points clear of the relegation zone.
As far as the goals go, Roberto Martinez’s side have seen three of their last four have three goals or more and they have only kept two clean sheets on the road this year.
Bet 4: Newcastle v Man United (Under 2.5 goals) @ 1.8 (4/5) – Live on BT Sport 1 at 19:45 GMT
This fixture always brings back memories of Phillipe Albert chipping Peter Schmeichel back in 1996. That game finished 5-0 to the Geordies, but I can’t see that many goals 19 years on.
Newcastle have already had five of 13 home matches this season finish 1-0 either way and they also had a recent 1-1 draw against Stoke. John Carver is desperate to stay in the job as manager so avoiding heavy defeats will sadly be his mantra until the end of the campaign.
A club of the stature of Manchester United should be capable of handing out heavy defeats, but under Louis van Gaal, that simply hasn’t happened. Whether it be tactics or personnel, United are struggling for goals.
They have tightened up at the back though and that has led to seven of their last nine away from Old Trafford going under 2.5 goals. It’s also worth noting that David de Gea is in fine form and it’s difficult to see him being beaten by a goal-shy Newcastle frontline.
Back Tottenham @ 1.72 (8/11)
Back Arsenal @ 1.53 (8/15)
Back Over 2.5 Goals in Stoke v Everton @ 2.37 (11/8)
Back Under 2.5 Goals in Newcastle v Man United @ 1.8 (4/5)
The Multiple pays approximately 11.23 (10/1)
Multiple prices are based on our Sportsbook product, so any winnings are exempt from commission.
2015 P/L (1pt each bet)
Wagered: 8 pts
Returned: 22.38 pts
P/L: + 14.38 pts
(2014 P/L: + 48.57pts)
(2013 P/L: – 15.49 pts)