The editors return after the break for the FA Cup and it remains tight at the top with just a few quid between leader Dan Thomas and Joe Dyer, while Luke Moore is on the charge, looking for a fourth consecutive winner. Find out where their tenners are headed this weekend…
Back Over 2.5 Goals in Manchester United v Tottenham at 1.824/5
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The Sunday afternoon game could be an absolute cracker – make sure your Mothers’ Day lunch bookings are early – with lots of attacking talent up against two pretty suspect defences.
I was surprised to see Tottenham trading as big as 4.47/2 to win the game, given that they are unbeaten in five against the Red Devils and are looking for their third consecutive win at Old Trafford, but they’re not quite trustworthy enough to back because of the leaky backline; just one away clean sheet in 12 league games.
I’m not going to get involved with United an an odds-on price either, despite their impressive home record (11 wins in 13 in the league).
As every pundit under the sun has noted, their performances of late simply haven’t been up to scratch. I can’t recall seeing a Manchester United team with such a lack of ideas as the one attempting to come back against Arsenal on Monday night.
But, despite this, Louis van Gaal’s men have still scored 12 in the last five at Old Trafford and it’s to the goals markets where I’m heading. There is every chance this game could go Over 3.5 Goals – available at around 2/1 – but I’m going to play it safe and go for Over 2.5 at a decent enough 1.824/5.
Dan Thomas 2014-15 P/L: +£8.25
Back a West Brom-Stoke draw @ 3.259/4
Could whoever has the voodoo doll of me please put it away now?
Nine straight losers has me on my knees and desperate for a winner – any winner! – to stem the flow.
And I’m committing a cardinal sin of betting by ignoring price and going for what I think will happen, which is a draw between West Brom and Stoke at 3.259/4.
The home team will be glad to see the back of local rivals Aston Villa after a pair of defeats in both league and cup, and ready to buckle down to the major task at hand – Premier League survival. West Brom have pulled clear of the danger zone thanks to defensive excellence and hard work and that will be what Tony Pulis demands on Saturday.
Stoke are in good form following three consecutive wins, but impressive as that run is, they just managed to slip past Villa thanks to a 93rd minute penalty while Hull were only beaten by a solitary goal. The wins have been by pretty slim margins in other words and I think they will struggle to get past the Baggies.
This should end 0-0 or 1-1 by my calculations so the draw it is for me.
Joe Dyer 2014-15 P/L +£0.50
Back Arsenal-1 to beat West Ham at 2.111/10 (Sportsbook)
As Arsenal continue in decent nick heading into the business end of the season, West Ham are in the middle of their worst run in ages – one win (over Hull) in ten games has essentially put paid to any ambitions they had to compete in Europe next season – and what’s more, the Hammers’ record against Saturday’s opponents is utterly horrendous.
Sam Allardyce’s team have lost their last eight in a row against Arsene Wenger’s men and, according to Opta, Big Sam has never coached a team to a win at Arsenal.
Of course, there’s no real value in backing the Gunners in the outright Match Odds market at just 1.51/2-ish, so I’m happy to take the 2.111/10 on offer on the Sportsbook for a -1 handicap win in search of my fourth win on the bounce. I expect the Irons to be swept aside by some pretty good attacking play; the handicap shouldn’t be a problem.
Luke Moore 2014-15 P/L: -£39.30
Back 0-0 Correct Score @ 8.88/1 in Sunderland v Aston Villa
I’ve had nine winners from my last 11 selections in my regular Premier League column but I can’t find a winner in this competition for love nor money.
I desperately need to get back on track but I really am at the stage now where I need big-price winners, so perhaps the most obvious Correct Score wager of the weekend is where I’m placing my tenner.
No, I’m not taking about Tottenham to win 2-1 for the umpteenth time this season, instead I’m going for the goalless draw at the Stadium Of Light.
The bet doesn’t really need much explaining so I won’t over-egg it as given my luck the game is sure to finish 4-4 now! But we have two poor sides in opposition here, and they’re the two lowest scoring teams in the Premier League. Sunderland are the draw specialists and I believe 0-0 has a decent chance of landing.
Mike Norman 2014-15 P/L: -£95.80
A £10 bet is placed on each selection on Betfair’s Exchange. Profits are calculated before commission.
Editors 2014/15 Season P/L
1. Dan Thomas: +£8.25
2. Joe Dyer: +£0.50
3. Luke Moore: -£39.30
4. Mike Norman: -£95.80