Back Over 2.5 Goals in Crystal Palace v West Brom @ [2.24]
A winner! A winner! A winner!
Yep, that’s right, I had a winner last week and, boy, did it feel good!
And now I’m back in front in the battle. Funny old game innit?
I’m hoping I’m not being all contrarian again but I can’t understand the odds-against price on Over 2.5 Goals in Crystal Palace’s clash with West Brom. I can’t help but feel it’s being coloured by long-standing perceptions of both teams, but especially the Baggies. Yes, that is Tony Pulis in the dugout and yes, they were very good at keeping clean sheets, but that has gone out the window with Ben Foster’s knee injury. Recent results have seen Leicester score three while QPR hit four, both games at the Hawthorns.
Their opponents on Saturday are flying and have been good for goals for a few games now. If in the same mood as recent weeks they should certainly score, while their back four is not a reliable unit and usually concedes.
There’s a chance Pulis will just try to shut up shop in an attempt to secure a point, but a confident Palace could make short work of a team that appears to be in disarray.
Joe Dyer 2014-15 P/L -£12.70
Back the draw in Chelsea v Man Utd at [3.55]Saturday, 17:30
Live on Sky Sports 1
Manchester United have been in imperious form in recent weeks, brushing aside Tottenham, Liverpool and Manchester City and it’s safe to say the feelgood factor is back at Old Trafford.
They face their sternest test yet when visiting champions elect Chelsea on Saturday teatime but I think they can get something out of the game and have decided to risk a nicely priced draw bet in an attempt to wrest the Battle lead back from Joe.
The Blues have drawn four of their past six matches at Stamford Bridge, with Burnley and Southampton among the teams to pick up a point in west London, and given the situation at the top of the table you feel Jose Mourinho will be happy enough with a point against an in-form United. And what Jose wants, he normally gets, especially if it involves closing the game down against a rival.
Of course, there is a risk that a rampant Man Utd might actually go and nick all three points, but Chelsea won’t give battering ram Marouane Fellaini as much freedom as Man City did and I’m expecting two good sides to cancel each other out.
Dan Thomas 2014-15 P/L: -£13.55
Back Crystal Palace to beat West Brom at [1.99]Saturday, 15:00
When you look at the relative form of these two teams it beggars belief that Alan Pardew’s Crystal Palace are available to back at almost evens for this encounter with West Brom. The Baggies have lost five of their last six, are in a downward spiral as their season peters out – they’ll have just about enough to stay up, but that’s about it – and they can’t stop conceding goals against poor side.
Palace meanwhile aren’t a poor side, they’re confident, Selhurst Park is always pumping and it’s clear that the manager has instructed his team to try for as many points as possible between now and season-end. Not for them the ‘on the beach’ drift towards the summer, this is a statement-making side looking to enhance reputations and Premier League status.
It’s hard to see them doing anything other than winning on Saturday afternoon. So that’s what I’m backing them to do.
Luke Moore 2014-15 P/L: -£39.80
Back Man City to win 3-0 v West Ham @ [9.4]Sunday, 13:30
Live on Sky Sports 1
Last week I made eight Premier League recommendations, there for all to see on Betting.Betfair. Seven of those predictions won, including getting the correct score in the Liverpool game, backing Leicester and Crystal Palace to win away from home, and predicting the draw in West Ham v Stoke.
So you know what’s coming next. Yes, the only one of my eight recommendations that didn’t come in was related to my Betting Battle pick. For the first time in an age White Hart Lane failed to witness a plethora of goals. Sorry entertainment-seeking Spurs fans, I jinxed you.
So the dilemma now is do I try and save some face and attempt to land a few ‘normal’ winners, or do I continue going for long shots?
Decision made up, it’s the long shots. My selection this week is Man City to win 3-0 against West Ham on Sunday. It’s impossible to be confident about a Correct Score wager so I’ll keep my reason for the bet simple.
West Ham are in poor form and getting a result at the Etihad Stadium is probably beyond them, while Man City are a wounded side right now who, despite their own poor form, are still getting results on home soil. They’ve won their last three league games at the Etihad without conceding and I can see a repeat here. In fact, fingers crossed for a repeat of their last home game, a 3-0 win over struggling West Brom.
Mike Norman 2014-15 P/L: -£135.80
A £10 bet is placed on each selection on Betfair’s Exchange. Profits are calculated before commission.
Editors 2014/15 Season P/L
1. Joe Dyer: -£12.70
2. Dan Thomas: -£13.55
3. Luke Moore: -£39.80
4. Mike Norman: -£135.80