Back Chelsea-1 v Crystal Palace at [2.1]Sunday, 13:30
Live on Sky Sports 1
It looks as though I may have timed my run to the top of table impeccably, and now I want to finish the season in profit to really hit home my dominance…ahem.
In all seriousness, this is the first time I’ve been top all season and I want to stay here. I think I’ve picked out a gem of a bet to enable me to do that, too – Chelsea-1 at an odds-against price in what will likely be a carnival atmosphere as the Blues look to wrestle back the Premier League title from Manchester City in Jose Mourinho’s second season back at the club.
I can’t believe they are as big as [2.1] to win with a one goal handicap; Crystal Palace have nothing to play for and Mourinho’s men know a victory hands them the title. They are sure to want to do it in style for their fans, the motivation is there as displayed by the way they celebrated a hard-fought point at the Emirates, and I can see this being a very easy win for the home side.
Will I stay on the top of the table? Well that depends on what they other chaps do, but let’s just say I’m quietly confident…
Luke Moore 2014-15 P/L: -£28.80
Back Sunderland @ [4.4] v Southampton
Hull, Aston Villa and Leicester have all come alive in recent weeks and I’m hoping Sunderland can take the hint and do the same this weekend.
Hope is the keyword as with three wins from 17 matches at the Stadium of Light – and five in total for the season – it’s impossible to have any faith in Sunderland’s ability to beat anyone in the Premier League.
But Dick Advocaat’s side are still within touching distance of their relegation rivals and Saturday’s home game with Southampton is a must-win if they are to overhaul any of the teams in the fight to beat the drop.
That’s not to make light of their opponents as Saints have been one of the most impressive sides in the top-flight this season. Recent away form has not been too clever though, and the hope is that a pumped-up Sunderland can pull off an upset win, especially as the visitors are without the services of influential midfielder Morgan Schneiderlin as well as England keeper Fraser Forster.
We saw on Tuesday night this week that you underestimate teams at the bottom of the league at your peril so Sunderland will be carrying my tenner this weekend.
Joe Dyer 2014-15 P/L -£32.70
Back Leicester (-1) v Newcastle at 23/10 (Sportsbook)
Live on BT Sport 1
When Christian Benteke went clean through at the Etihad last week in the dying minutes I was actually on my feet in front of the telly – finally a Battle winner – but then the linesman incorrectly ruled him offside and shattered my dreams.
So, now in the depths of third place in what is proving to be a scrappy season for the Betting Battle, I am in need of a decent priced winner and it’s off to the King Power Stadium I go.
The Chelsea machine ended Leicester’s superb four-match winning run on Wednesday night but Nigel Pearson’s men put up a good fight before eventually succumbing and a similar level of application should be more than enough to beat a sorry-looking Newcastle.
I wouldn’t put anyone off backing the Foxes at around even money to beat a team who have now lost seven on the bounce, but I’ll take the bigger price on the one-goal handicap. The hosts have scored 12 in their last six, while the Magpies have only notched four in their past half dozen.
Dan Thomas 2014-15 P/L: -£33.55
Back Over 4.5 Goals @ [8.2] in Aston Villa v Everton
The search for a winner goes on and this weekend I’m looking to goals at Villa Park to get me out of the mire.
Two factors are in our favour here. One is that both sides are playing much better now than they were a few months ago and now have something to really focus on – Villa need points to avoid the drop, Everton are chasing a top-half finish.
So we can be sure that both sides will be going for the victory, which leads us onto the next factor that suggests we can expect goals to be scored – recent trends.
From April 2008 the next dozen meetings between Villa and the Toffees constantly threw up goals – 11 of the 12 resulted in both teams getting on the scoresheet and remarkably, nine of them went over the 3.5 goals mark.
If I was leading this season’s Betting Battle I’d be going for the much more conservative Over 2.5 Goals option, but I need a big-price winner so Over 4.5 Goals it is.
Mike Norman 2014-15 P/L: -£155.80
A £10 bet is placed on each selection on Betfair’s Exchange. Profits are calculated before commission.
Editors 2014/15 Season P/L
1. Luke Moore: -£28.80
2. Joe Dyer: -£32.70
3. Dan Thomas: -£33.55
4. Mike Norman: -£155.80