Club Brugge v Dnipro
Thursday April 16, 20:05
Live on BT Sport 2
This quarter-final features two of the Europa League’s more unfashionable sides, the surprise packages who have dumped out more illustrious names. I must admit that Club Brugge shocked me by beating a brutally competitive Besiktas side home and away in the last 16, and Dnipro deserve equal credit for overcoming Dutch giants Ajax in extra-time.
Club Brugge finished top of the regular season table in Belgium, four points clear of second-placed Gent. They are yet to taste defeat at home in any competition, and they have won 15 of their last 17 matches at the Jan Breydel Stadium.
Brugge have multiple attacking threats. Israeli midfielder Lior Rafaelov has smashed in 14 goals this term, including six in the Europa League. Striker Tom De Sutter has a goal-poacher’s instincts, scored in both legs against Besiktas, and has netted four goals in his last six games. Colombian forward Jose Izquierdo has also come to the party recently, with eight goals in his last 12 outings. Boli Mbombo is also pushing for a start after scoring the two goals that ultimately defeated Besiktas.
Dnipro came through a tough group which included Saint Etienne and Inter, and they have booted out Olympiakos and Ajax. They certainly won’t shut up shop in Belgium, and they have scored in all four of their games in the knockout rounds. The concern for Dnipro fans is their side’s away form, as they have won just once on their travels in the Europa League this season.
Club Brugge tend to score plenty of goals, especially at home, and their last five Europa League matches have featured three goals or more. With the incisive Yevhen Konoplyanka in the line-up, Dnipro are certainly capable of scoring an away goal, so I think Over 2.5 Goals might be worth taking on at a sizeable [2.3].
Back Over 2.5 Goals at [2.3]
2014/15 Europa League P/L (1pt per bet)
Points Staked: 77
Points Returned: 81.28
P/L: +4.28 points