Europa League Treble: Goals more likely at Dinamo Kiev than Sevilla

All games are on Thursday at 20:05

Dinamo Kiev v Fiorentina
Live on BT Sport 1
Back both teams to score @ [1.99]

It is difficult to see either Dinamo Kiev or Fiorentina failing to score in the Ukrainian capital given how effective they have been in front of goal throughout the competition.

The hosts have netted in each of their last seven Europa League encounters and have tallied 15 in the five in Kiev, including five against Everton in the round-of-16, yet gave up three goals across their two knockout matches to date in front of their fans.

Fiorentina meanwhile have struck in all ten of their outings, including home and away against well-fancied Tottenham and Roma in the previous two rounds, but were breached in their most recent two journeys outside of Italy.

Sevilla v Zenit St Petersburg
Back under 2.5 goals @ [1.93]

Zenit St Petersburg have travelled overseas seven times this season, five times in the Champions League and twice in the Europa League and, on every occasion, the match delivered under 2.5 goals.

The two Europa League ties were the joint-lowest scoring, both ending 1-0 (one in their favour and one against) with the only goal arriving after the hour to earn unders backers a satisfyingly drama-free profit. Even if you include games in Russia, there have been either one or no sides on the scoresheet in 13 of their 14 continental contests in 2014/15.

Sevilla venture over 2.5 goals a bit more often than Zenit, though not to an excess. In fact, the first legs of their quarter-final and semi-final clashes en route to the trophy last term produced two goals or fewer, as did two of their latest three home fixtures in this edition.

Wolfsburg v Napoli
Live on ITV4
Back Wolfsburg to win @ [1.86]

Opposing Napoli in Europe is usually something to approach with caution, particularly with cup magician Rafael Benitez in charge, but the case for Wolfsburg is an unusually compelling one.

The second best team in the Bundesliga – a title that they might be able to take long-term ownership of now that Jurgen Klopp is leaving Borussia Dortmund – have won nine successive home games, conquering guests as diverse and proven as Bayern Munich, Sporting Lisbon and Inter in that period.

By contrast, Napoli are winless in five on the road, scoring just once during that sequence and losing three times, and they have been shut out in three of their past four Europa League trips abroad too.

A £10 treble provides an estimated profit of £53.20 if successful