It’s Champions League action for Paul Robinson this evening as he thinks that the goals will flow when Bayern Munich take on Shakhtar Donetsk.
Bayern Munich v Shakhtar Donetsk
Wednesday March 11, 19:45 GMT
Live on Sky Sports 1
It was a huge shock three weeks ago when Shakhtar were able to hold Bayern to a 0-0 in the first leg. This will be a completely different proposition than in the Ukraine though and I expect plenty of goals.
Bayern Munich rack up goals at home, that’s what they do. The Germans have scored four or more in six of 16 matches at the Allianz this term. They usually keep a clean sheet, but it’s worth noting that Schalke and Koln have managed to find the net there since the beginning of February.
Shakhtar are more than capable of scoring as they haven’t fired a blank on the road since their trip to Dynamo Kiev back in October. Even in the Champions League, Mircea Lucescu’s side have scored in two of their three away from home this year, and that includes a trip to the daunting, Dragão.
Pep Guardiola will be disappointed that his team couldn’t win the first leg, or at least score. I can’t see lightening striking twice though as I expect the Germans to come flying out of the traps and put the tie to bed.
All things considered, with under 3.5 goals trading at around the 1.715/7 mark, I have to make it my lay of the day.
Lay Under 3.5 goals in Bayern Munich v Shakhtar Donetsk @ 1.715/7
2015 P/L (1pt each bet)
Wagered: 68 pts
Returned: 55.20 pts
P/L: – 12.80 pts (after commission)
(2014 P/L: + 17.34 pts)
(2013 P/L: + 3.80 pts)
(2012 P/L: + 9.60 pts)