Opta Stats: Buffon and Muller to thrive against Real Madrid and Barcelona

Juventus v Real Madrid (Tuesday, 19:45, ITV)

In no other Champions League season has Iker Casillas conceded fewer goals than this one (six)

It is pretty rare for under 2.5 goals to stand out as one of the most attractive bets in a Real Madrid game, but these sides are so strong defensively in Europe that there is a compelling case for backing it. The Champions League holders have kept seven clean sheets in the last eight matches of their defence, while Juventus have been breached just once in their previous six competition outings.

Recommended Bet: Back under 2.5 goals @ [1.7]

Juventus have lost only one of their last 54 competitive games at home (W45 D8)

The Old Lady were presented as odd ones out in a parade of the continent’s finest when the semi-final draw was made, so it is a slight surprise to find them rated favourites in this first leg. However, their Juventus Stadium record is magnificent and features an un-victorious visit from Real Madrid when the Spaniards were en route to the trophy last term. Opta note that Carlo Ancelotti has won a mere five of his 23 prior managerial meetings with his former club.

Recommended Bet: Back Juventus to win (draw no bet) @ [1.92]

Barcelona v Bayern Munich (Wednesday, 19:45, Sky Sports 1 and 5)

Barcelona have only won one of their eight previous matches against Bayern Munich (D2 L5) in Europe

Anyone convinced that Barcelona are a cut above their Champions League semi-final foes just needs a refresher on what happened two years ago, when the confidence that they built up during their most successful ever La Liga campaign set them up for an almighty fall. Bayern Munich beat them 4-0 at the Allianz Arena and 3-0 at the Camp Nou, and that was without Pep Guardiola and Thiago Alcantara on hand to target their weaknesses. The German giants were tournament favourites at the start of the quarter-finals; don’t be fooled into thinking that a great deal has changed since.

Recommended Bet: Lay Barcelona to win @ [1.75]

Thomas Muller has scored three goals in two Champions League games against Barcelona

Opta reveal that this tally renders Barcelona his favourite opponents alongside CSKA Moscow. The 25-year-old also happens to be Bayern’s top Champions League scorer this season, with his tally of six including three strikes already in the knockout phase and two in his past four away appearances.

Recommended Bet: Back Muller to score @ [4.1]