Bet 1: Bahia (HOME) @ 1.61 (8/13)
This is a Copa do Brasil second leg match-up and there was a shock when they met last week as Paysandu ran out 3-0 winners. They are in the same division as Bahia but they are higher in the table and last season they were a top flight club, while Paysandu were plying their trade in Serie C.
I’m not convinced that the hosts can turn around such a large deficit but I think they will give it a good go and win the game. Sérgio Soares’ side have a fine recent record in front of their own fans as it is 13 wins from 14 fixtures in all competitions – the last five of which were all to nil.
Add in the fact that the visitors can afford to lose by a goal or two and you have yourself a recipe for a comfortable home victory.
Bet 2: Celtic (AWAY) @ 1.44 (4/9) – Live on BT Sport 1 at 20:15 BST
A 2-0 win in Glasgow has Celtic in the driving seat ahead of this Champions League second leg and the Scots should be able to extend their lead this evening.
The hosts may well be the reigning champions of Iceland but that is hardly a strong league and their recent form has been poor. It’s five defeats in eight outings for Rúnar Páll Sigmundsson’s men, and at home it’s one draw and four losses of late.
Ronny Deila’s side are no world beaters, but they were comfortable in the first leg and they have a much better European record than their opponents.
Bet 3: Tigres v Internacional (Over 2.5 goals) @ 2.3 (13/10) – Live on Premier Sports at 02:00 BST
Another second leg now but this time in South America’s elite club competition. River Plate await the winners of this tie and both teams will be desperate to make the final.
Internacional take a 2-1 lead over to Mexico and while a 0-0 draw would suit them here, I don’t expect them to believe that they can achieve it. Tigres have been knocking in plenty of goals in the Libertadores this season – especially at home – and they have so far netted 12 times in five games on this ground.
The Brazilians have also shown their ability to score on the road as they have eight in five away from home and that includes two at Atletico Mineiro and four at Universidad Chile.
This should be a thriller and while I hope Internacional prevail so that we get a Brazil v Argentina final, as long as there is three goals, I’m not overly fussed.
Bet 4: Panama v Mexico (Under 2.5 goals) @ 1.57 (4/7) – Live on BT Sport 1 at 02:00 BST
This is one of the semi-finals of the CONCACAF Gold Cup and I don’t expect too many goals.
Panama have played four times in this competition so far and all four finished 1-1, meaning that this selection would have landed. They aren’t an overly ambitious team and the tactic will likely be to play for penalties.
Opponents, Mexico, can be very hit or miss as they’ve had a pair of 0-0’s after 90 minutes and also a 6-0 win and a 4-4 draw. Given that a place in the final is up for grabs, I doubt that they will be too gung-ho and the pressure of expectation could tell on the players.
This should be cagey with few chances, so despite the short price, under 2.5 goals looks like decent value.
Back Bahia @ 1.61 (8/13)
Back Celtic @ 1.44 (4/9)
Back Over 2.5 Goals in Tigres v Internacional @ 2.3 (13/10)
Back Under 2.5 Goals in Panama v Mexico @ 1.57 (4/7)
The Multiple pays approximately 8.37 (15/2)
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2015 P/L (1pt each bet)
Wagered: 28 pts
P/L: + 4.16pts
(2014 P/L: + 48.57pts)
(2013 P/L: – 15.49 pts)