These Opta gems point to Aston Villa and West Brom’s FA Cup quarter-final bearing three similarities to their recent Premier League clash…
Aston Villa v West Brom
Live on BBC One
Match Odds: Aston Villa 2.89/5, West Brom 2.962/1, The Draw 3.211/5
Aston Villa have won nine of their last ten home FA Cup matches
The reaction to Aston Villa beating West Brom in midweek was overstated, with Ben Foster’s late lapse delivering a win that Tim Sherwood judged to be better than hitting the EuroMillions jackpot.
However, they were the better team, so it is a surprise that they are as big as 2.89/5 to triumph again.
Opta note that West Brom have won only five of their last 19 FA Cup matches against teams from the top two tiers, which contrasts sharply with Aston Villa’s fine home record in the competition.
The Baggies haven’t defeated a Premier League side on their travels in over four months, losing both trips to fellow midlanders (Stoke and Villa) in that nine-game sequence.
Recommended Bet: Back Aston Villa to win @ 2.89/5
Aston Villa have kept just one clean sheet in their last 19 FA Cup matches
The Villans are finally starting to score regularly again, netting five times in four fixtures since sacking Paul Lambert, having notched a mere two times in the Scot’s final ten league encounters in charge.
Sherwood has been unable to stop the strugglers from leaking thus far though. Villa are clean sheet-less in ten outings in all competitions, conceding four in three under the new boss. West Brom have struck 13 times in three FA Cup ties this term, including four times past West Ham in the last round.
Recommended Bet: Back both teams to score @ 2.021/1
Saido Berahino has five goals and four assists in three FA Cup appearances this season
Berahino’s FA Cup figures have been enhanced by his four-goal contribution to the 7-0 third-round destruction of Gateshead, but he also fired in their sole clash against Premier League opposition in top-half West Ham.
The 21-year-old managed to bag in the league showdown at Villa Park four days prior to this one even though it was the Baggies’ only shot on target, and he has scored 18 times in total in 2013/14. Aston Villa’s entire squad have mustered just two more than that.
Recommended Bet: Back Berahino to score @ 3.211/5