Against All Odds: Goals in German six pointer

The action comes from Germany for Paul Robinson this evening as he thinks the goals will flow in this relegation six pointer between Hamburg and Hertha BSC.

Hamburg v Hertha Berlin
Friday March 20, 19:30 GMT
Live on BT Sport 2

I will be attending this fixture today so let’s hope for a winner…

Hamburg barely retained their top flight status last year as they needed to come through the relegation play-off after finishing 16th. They haven’t improved this time though as they are only one place above in 15th, just two points ahead of Paderborn.

Josef Zinnbauer’s side have now gone five without a win, and they were beaten 3-0 at Hoffenheim last time out. It’s getting towards the end of the campaign now and they could really do with getting a win or two under their belts. That’s why I think there will be goals in this one – a draw doesn’t really help either team.

Opponents, Hertha BSC, are only one place and one point above Hamburg. They are in better form however as they come into the fixture having taken five points from a possible nine of late.

Pál Dárdai’s men will see this as a great opportunity to put some distance between themselves and their rivals and I very much doubt they’ll go to the Imtech Arena just to defend.

‘The Old Lady’ have seen five of their last eight on the road reward under 2.5 layers as have five of Hamburg’s last seven home or away. That’s why, with under 2.5 goals trading at around the 1.654/6 mark, I have to make it my lay of the day.

Recommended Bet
Lay Under 2.5 goals in Hamburg v Hertha BSC @ 1.654/6

2015 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 75 pts
Returned: 64.12 pts
P/L: – 10.88 pts (after commission)
(2014 P/L: + 17.34 pts)
(2013 P/L: + 3.80 pts)
(2012 P/L: + 9.60 pts)