European Football Tips: Distracted Fiorentina no match for Juventus

Bayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund
Tuesday, 19:30
Live on BT Sport 1

Match Odds: Bayern Munich [1.52], Borussia Dortmund [7.2], The Draw [4.7]

Jurgen Klopp’s decision to announce his impending exit has worked out well for Borussia Dortmund. Whereas fans and players were perhaps sidetracked by wondering if he had lost it or whether it was time to find a new club respectively, their attention has now shifted to ensuring that a man who has brought them so much success gets the send off that he deserves.

Two wins to nil have followed to suddenly open up the possibility of Europa League qualification by league position, though they won’t need it if they reach a third DFB-Pokal final in four years and lift the trophy for the second time in that period.

This writer has been critical of Klopp this season, but fancies Dortmund for an upset. They have a three-from-three semi-final progress rate in across all competitions under him, with Real Madrid and Wolfsburg among the victims, and haven’t lost three in a row to Bayern in over five years. Klopp’s men have also achieved as many wins as defeats (three each) on their last seven Allianz Arena visits.

Recommended Bet: Lay Bayern Munich to win @ [1.53]

Athletic Bilbao v Real Sociedad
Tuesday, 21:00
Live on Sky Sports 5

Match Odds: Athletic Bilbao [1.74], Real Sociedad [5.5], The Draw [4.0]

Real Sociedad are unbeaten in five Basque derbies with Athletic Bilbao, but it is difficult to construct a case for that to continue. David Moyes’ side have won once in 19 away games, are winless in five La Liga fixtures and have notched just twice over their past five road trips.

By contrast, Athletic are on their hottest run of the entire campaign, earning eight victories in 11 domestic encounters since late February. The only of the last five Spanish guests to flee San Mames with so much as a point were Valencia, with even the mighty Real Madrid being felled in that period.

Recommended Bet: Back Athletic Bilbao to win @ [1.74]

Juventus v Fiorentina
Wednesday, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 2

Match Odds: Juventus [1.73], Fiorentina [5.9], The Draw [3.9]

Fiorentina will be travelling light to Turin having left all of their eggs in the Europa League basket. While they have a semi-final with holders Sevilla to look forward to on the continent and potentially Champions League football next term by extension, their domestic form has nosedived.

First came a 3-0 Coppa Italia semi-final second leg flop to these opponents having established a 2-1 aggregate lead then three successive Serie A reverses to slumping teams. Napoli, Verona and Cagliari were winless in five, three and 11 league matches respectively before pick-me-ups from the Viola.

Juventus will appreciate the boost as they look to put a first Turin derby defeat in 20 years behind them, yet they would rightly be confident of three points even if Fiorentina were in peak form. The Old Lady have won 33 of their most recent 35 home league games, drawing the exceptions. Vincenzo Montella’s men have never collected a Serie A point at the Juventus Stadium.

Recommended Bet: Back Juventus to win @ [1.73]